Prediksi Angka Harapan Hidup Masyarakat Aceh dengan Model Terbaik Algoritma Cyclical Order

Teuku Afriliansyah, Z Zulfahmi

Abstract


Angka Harapan Hidup penting untuk diketahui pada setiap daerah, khusunya di daerah Aceh, untuk melihat dan mengevaluasi kinerja pemerintah Aceh dalam meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakatnya, khususnya pada bidang kesehatan. Oleh karena itu tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk melakukan prediksi angka harapan hidup masyarakat Aceh menggunakan model terbaik algoritma Cyclical Order Weight/bias yang sudah pernah dilakukan sebelumnya. Data penelitian yang digunakan adalah data angka harapan hidup yang ada di 23 wilayah kabupaten/kota di provinsi Aceh yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Model terbaik yang digunakan untuk prediksi adalah model 8-9-1 (8 merupakan input layer, 9 merupakan neuron hidden layer dan 1 merupakan output) yang menghasilkan akurasi sebesar 91% dengan nilai MSE pelatihan 0,0009907466 dan MSE Pengujian 0,0010800577. Hasil dari penelitian ini berupa prediksi angka harapan hidup masyarakat Aceh untuk tahun 2020 hingga tahun 2022.

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References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.30645/senaris.v2i0.193

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